An interesting trend has been developing with car loans in the United States, and some warn that it could be an indicator of economic troubles in the future. People are defaulting on their car loans at a higher rate than they did previously.
Between 2021 and 2025, for instance, the percentage of subprime borrowers who are at least two months behind on car payments has doubled. While that only takes it up to 6.43%, the fact that it doubled shows a significant rate of increase. This is actually a higher rate than was found in previous recessions in the U.S., such as the dot-com bust, the Great Recession or the COVID pandemic.
Why does this mean economic trouble may be in the future?
Car loans can act as a sort of barometer for the economy as a whole. After all, automobiles are very important in America, and they are often a necessity for those who want to attend school or hold down a job. A car becomes a requirement, not a luxury item.
That is why defaults are such a massive red flag. People will often miss credit card payments, student loan payments, or medical payments long before they will miss a car payment. It is one of the last bills they are willing to let slide.
So, if people have started defaulting on their car loans twice as often today as they were just four years ago, that may indicate that the economy is in a rough position and that many people are struggling with overwhelming debt, high costs, and wages that are simply too low to cover all of their obligations.
Filing for bankruptcy
For many borrowers, the only solution to overwhelming debt is to file for bankruptcy. An experienced law firm can help determine whether Chapter 7 or Chapter 13 bankruptcy would be best and can assist borrowers in taking the correct steps to file.
